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Red91
205927.0
516031.5
265535.3
Blue89
23837.8
58731.1
319623.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9288204060801001201401601809189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.2
34.834.6
Auto10.3
Teleop19.6
End5.4
blue by 2.5
238
#3
37.80.2
36.036.2
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End6.4
Second
31.50.2
27.627.4
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
red by 0.4
587
#6
31.10.2
27.527.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.6
End5.6
Third
27.00.2
26.726.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.7
End3.7
red by 3.9
3196
#14
23.10.2
22.222.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed