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Red53
429033.4
368013.1
322911.3
Blue85
572721.5
476719.6
516031.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576201001502005385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.2
33.733.5
Auto11.9
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 1.9
31.51.7
27.329.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Second
3680
#24
13.10.2
13.112.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.0
End1.2
blue by 8.4
5727
#16
21.51.7
16.017.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End4.0
Third
3229
#23
11.30.2
9.29.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End-0.6
blue by 8.3
4767
#12
19.61.7
16.618.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed