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Red42
397119.8
319623.1
122515.8
Blue91
23837.8
516031.5
585417.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48740204060801001204291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#14
23.10.6
22.922.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.5
End3.9
blue by 14.8
238
#3
37.81.6
32.834.5
Auto11.3
Teleop20.1
End6.4
Second
3971
#19
19.80.6
17.316.7
Auto8.4
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 11.7
31.51.6
23.925.5
Auto7.7
Teleop19.3
End4.6
Third
1225
#20
15.80.6
10.39.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 1.9
5854
#22
17.61.6
10.111.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed