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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123109050150200250137108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 2.0
35.30.0
35.435.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End9.1
Second
34.80.1
34.934.8
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
red by 1.1
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Third
5518
#17
24.20.1
24.324.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 3.9
4534
#21
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5