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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798420406010012014010257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.3
29.330.6
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
red by 4.5
2059
#18
28.71.6
26.324.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
4795
#12
27.61.3
26.427.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
blue by 0.4
28.01.6
30.028.3
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.2
Third
24.41.3
21.823.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 0.9
3459
#10
23.51.6
25.023.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed