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Red115
90027.7
58732.9
600326.2
Blue77
265537.3
621417.5
366122.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776505010015011577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#11
32.92.5
30.833.3
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End6.5
blue by 4.4
37.30.8
33.534.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
900
#13
27.72.5
19.622.1
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End4.0
red by 5.3
3661
#29
22.40.8
19.420.2
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7
Third
6003
#19
26.22.5
22.324.8
Auto10.4
Teleop11.8
End4.0
red by 8.7
6214
#24
17.50.8
12.112.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed