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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions599801502008593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#13
27.71.5
22.023.5
Auto10.7
Teleop13.1
End4.0
blue by 9.6
37.30.2
34.434.6
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
5607
#30
27.11.5
27.128.6
Auto13.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
blue by 7.8
34.80.2
32.032.2
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
Third
4291
#31
15.91.5
13.815.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 4.2
3763
#22
20.10.2
23.023.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned