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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160020401001201401609785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.4
30.531.9
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 9.5
5518
#17
24.21.2
21.923.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Second
28.01.4
28.429.8
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.2
red by 5.9
5919
#32
22.11.2
20.822.1
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End2.8
Third
5762
#26
18.71.4
17.118.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End3.3
red by 1.5
3737
#25
17.11.2
18.619.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed