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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8655020401001201401605954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.3
35.334.0
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 8.6
2059
#18
28.70.3
27.026.7
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
33.21.3
31.530.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
red by 10.6
6215
#28
22.60.3
20.920.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Third
3737
#25
17.11.3
12.210.9
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End4.1
red by 1.3
4291
#31
15.90.3
10.510.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed