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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9378501507286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.71.1
32.931.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
blue by 3.6
37.30.5
35.736.3
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
435
#23
30.81.1
32.131.0
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
red by 7.3
3459
#10
23.50.5
24.024.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End3.3
Third
3763
#22
20.11.1
23.422.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 0.3
4534
#21
20.40.5
18.318.8
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned