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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions797640601001208291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.70.4
31.832.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 2.9
435
#23
30.80.8
31.031.7
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Second
6215
#28
22.60.4
21.021.4
Auto7.7
Teleop10.4
End4.5
blue by 5.0
4795
#12
27.60.8
26.527.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
Third
5919
#32
22.10.4
23.223.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 4.7
6214
#24
17.50.8
17.117.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed