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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888760801001209267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.1
33.733.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
red by 1.9
587
#11
32.91.2
34.633.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End6.5
Second
4795
#12
27.60.1
27.327.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End4.9
blue by 3.2
435
#23
30.81.2
31.730.5
Auto8.6
Teleop19.4
End2.8
Third
5511
#16
24.00.1
24.824.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End4.7
red by 6.9
3737
#25
17.11.2
18.717.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed