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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969506080908572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.2
24.624.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End3.6
blue by 2.3
26.70.3
25.525.8
Auto11.8
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Second
3661
#29
22.40.2
22.122.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7
blue by 2.6
6004
#15
25.00.3
24.725.0
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End4.8
Third
4534
#21
20.40.2
20.620.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
red by 4.6
3822
#27DQ
15.80.3
16.917.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed