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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93632040801001201401606786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.3
30.128.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
blue by 0.6
33.71.4
24.425.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
Second
587
#11
32.91.3
32.230.9
Auto9.7
Teleop16.7
End6.5
red by 6.3
26.71.4
22.423.7
Auto11.8
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Third
5607
#30
27.11.3
23.722.4
Auto13.0
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 2.6
24.41.4
19.020.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed