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Red124
265537.3
153334.8
551824.2
Blue104
205928.7
544626.7
551124.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12497050150200250124104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.2
37.237.4
Auto11.5
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 8.6
2059
#18
28.70.1
28.929.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.7
End3.1
Second
34.80.2
34.734.9
Auto5.6
Teleop17.6
End11.6
red by 8.2
26.70.1
26.826.9
Auto11.8
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Third
5518
#17
24.20.2
24.124.3
Auto8.9
Teleop11.5
End3.9
red by 0.2
5511
#16
24.00.1
24.224.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End4.7