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Red108
350635.3
456133.7
453420.4
Blue76
493530.8
516033.2
366122.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11310905015020025030035040010876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.30.2
35.635.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.5
End9.1
red by 2.2
33.20.4
33.533.2
Auto9.4
Teleop19.7
End4.1
Second
33.70.2
34.033.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End4.7
red by 2.9
30.80.4
31.230.8
Auto9.5
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Third
4534
#21
20.40.2
20.720.5
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 2.0
3661
#29
22.40.4
22.722.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.8
End3.7