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Qual 142016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red72
551122.2
554428.2
493528.9
Blue109
350638.3
268226.9
264030.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8189406010012014016072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#23
28.90.5
31.1→30.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 9.4
3506
#1
38.31.6
38.0→39.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
Second
5544
#20
28.20.5
24.4→23.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
blue by 2.6
2640
#15
30.81.6
22.0→23.5
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
Third
5511
#26
22.20.5
24.1→23.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
blue by 4.6
2682
#21
26.91.6
25.6→27.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed