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Qual 182016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red90
319622.7
264030.8
456137.5
Blue69
268226.9
551122.2
516037.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858840601001201401609069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
37.50.5
35.9→36.4
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
red by 0.5
5160
#8
37.01.1
34.6→33.5
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
2640
#15
30.80.5
23.5→24.0
Auto9.5
Teleop12.6
End8.7
red by 3.9
2682
#21
26.91.1
27.1→26.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
Third
3196
#28
22.70.5
23.4→23.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.6
End3.7
red by 0.4
5511
#26
22.21.1
23.6→22.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed