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Red93
90031.6
268226.9
43533.0
Blue98
600424.5
350638.3
600326.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86980501509398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#18
33.00.5
31.732.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.5
End4.9
blue by 5.3
38.30.3
40.540.8
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
Second
900
#12
31.60.5
26.727.1
Auto11.5
Teleop15.1
End5.0
red by 5.4
6003
#19
26.20.3
28.929.2
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Third
2682
#21
26.90.5
27.327.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
red by 2.4
6004
#29
24.50.3
24.024.3
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned