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Qual 382016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red91
58730.5
205931.3
397125.8
Blue76
373719.6
340223.5
350638.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92870501502009176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#5
31.30.2
32.3→32.1
Auto8.5
Teleop18.8
End4.0
blue by 7.0
3506
#1
38.30.6
40.8→40.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
Second
587
#13
30.50.2
33.3→33.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
red by 7.0
3402
#22
23.50.6
24.2→23.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Third
3971
#14
25.80.2
23.3→23.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
red by 6.2
3737
#31
19.60.6
20.4→19.8
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed