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Qual 442016 NC FIRST Robotics State Championship
Red88
350638.3
397125.8
621522.3
Blue113
551829.5
153342.5
554428.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84995015088113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#1
38.30.3
40.1→40.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
blue by 4.2
1533
#9
42.50.9
40.3→41.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
Second
3971
#14
25.80.3
23.1→23.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
blue by 3.8
5518
#10
29.50.9
26.5→27.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Third
6215
#30
22.30.3
20.9→21.1
Auto9.1
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 5.9
5544
#20
28.20.9
27.4→28.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed6%Capture oddsMissed