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Red85
567926.3
58730.5
265533.8
Blue103
544625.9
600326.2
268226.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9777020406012014016085103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2655
#11
33.80.4
32.432.0
Auto8.1
Teleop20.6
End5.1
red by 6.9
2682
#21
26.91.3
26.828.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.6
End7.4
Second
587
#13
30.50.4
30.830.4
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
red by 4.3
6003
#19
26.21.3
25.827.1
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4
Third
5679
#24
26.30.4
28.327.8
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.5
5446
#25
25.91.3
25.526.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
11%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed