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Red61
482824.7
340223.5
493528.9
Blue109
345928.0
456137.5
58730.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791015015061109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#23
28.91.3
30.529.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End3.0
blue by 8.6
37.50.3
37.637.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.1
End4.9
Second
4828
#27
24.71.3
25.424.2
Auto6.2
Teleop14.6
End3.9
blue by 5.8
587
#13
30.50.3
30.430.6
Auto9.2
Teleop17.6
End3.7
Third
3402
#22
23.51.3
23.922.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 4.5
28.00.3
27.027.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned