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Red124
153342.5
350638.3
567926.3
Blue99
516037.0
479531.2
600326.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136123608010016018020012499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.1
42.942.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.1
End12.3
red by 5.5
37.00.4
37.837.4
Auto9.3
Teleop23.1
End4.6
Second
38.30.1
38.738.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End11.7
red by 7.1
31.20.4
32.031.6
Auto8.3
Teleop17.6
End5.3
Third
5679
#24
26.30.1
26.726.6
Auto9.3
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 0.2
6003
#19
26.20.4
27.026.6
Auto9.2
Teleop12.6
End4.4