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Red50
153322.9
384521.4
32159.4
Blue86
397117.8
567921.9
600418.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756220401001201405086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
23.623.5
Auto1.8
Teleop15.7
End5.4
red by 1.0
5679
#12
21.90.2
20.720.9
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
21.40.1
22.122.0
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 2.5
6004
#18
18.90.2
17.717.9
Auto1.5
Teleop13.7
End3.7
Third
3215
#28
9.40.1
10.110.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 8.3
3971
#14
17.80.2
16.516.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7