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Red93
456123.5
43527.6
572716.7
Blue102
268223.4
264226.0
264017.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907620406010012014016093102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#3
27.60.0
27.427.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End5.9
red by 1.6
26.00.4
24.825.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
23.50.0
23.323.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
red by 0.2
2682
#15
23.40.4
22.122.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Third
5727
#19
16.70.0
16.516.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.4
End3.6
blue by 0.4
2640
#20
17.10.4
15.916.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4