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Red7
150132.9
518817.1
58549.0
Blue68
493524.6
567921.9
350626.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62590100150200768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
32.95.9
27.321.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 6.0
3506
#10
26.81.2
22.623.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Second
5188
#16
17.15.9
20.514.6
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 7.4
4935
#11
24.61.2
17.618.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End1.9
Third
5854
#29
9.05.9
12.06.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 12.9
5679
#12
21.91.2
17.318.5
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed