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Red10
333612.8
551116.1
48296.3
Blue46
429030.7
368010.3
264017.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39420102030506070801046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5511
#27
16.13.2
11.98.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 14.6
30.70.0
15.915.9
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
3336
#21
12.83.2
10.47.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 4.2
2640
#20
17.10.0
13.113.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4
Third
4829
#26
6.33.2
16.413.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.5
blue by 4.0
3680
#22
10.30.0
11.811.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
12%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed