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Red70
350626.8
397117.8
268223.4
Blue54
572716.7
150132.9
340213.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615102040801001207054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#10
26.81.3
23.825.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
blue by 6.0
1501
#13
32.90.4
21.421.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
Second
2682
#15
23.41.3
18.720.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
red by 6.6
5727
#19
16.70.4
18.018.3
Auto0.7
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Third
3971
#14
17.81.3
15.516.8
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 4.2
3402
#24
13.50.4
11.411.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed