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Red70
340213.5
397117.8
493524.6
Blue60
264017.1
350626.8
333612.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524602060801001201401607060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4935
#11
24.61.2
21.022.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End1.9
blue by 2.3
3506
#10
26.81.0
25.126.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Second
3971
#14
17.81.2
16.818.0
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 0.7
2640
#20
17.11.0
11.212.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4
Third
3402
#24
13.51.2
11.812.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 0.7
3336
#21
12.81.0
9.510.5
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed