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Red102
384521.4
150132.9
429030.7
Blue56
397117.8
382213.2
567921.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6553020408010012014010256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
32.93.9
21.625.5
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
red by 10.9
5679
#12
21.90.3
19.719.4
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
30.73.9
19.823.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
red by 13.0
3971
#14
17.80.3
18.017.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
21.43.9
20.224.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 8.2
3822
#23
13.20.3
15.615.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned34%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed