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Red42
58549.0
268223.4
264017.1
Blue47
368010.3
551116.1
333118.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060804247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#15
23.40.0
21.021.0
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
red by 4.5
3331
#17
18.90.4
19.519.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End3.2
Second
2640
#20
17.10.0
12.312.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4
red by 1.0
5511
#27
16.10.4
12.512.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Third
5854
#29
9.00.0
8.78.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 1.3
3680
#22
10.30.4
11.211.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed