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Red50
58549.0
333118.9
456123.5
Blue55
48296.3
397117.8
518817.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4666020801001201405055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
16.917.1
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End3.2
red by 5.8
3971
#14
17.80.7
18.417.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Second
3331
#17
18.90.2
15.415.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.6
End3.2
red by 1.7
5188
#16
17.10.7
27.226.5
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
Third
5854
#29
9.017.1
33.015.9
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
red by 2.7
4829
#26
6.30.7
15.614.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed