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Red51
319623.6
333612.8
567921.9
Blue17
551116.1
384521.4
397117.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801005117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.6
26.225.6
Auto3.0
Teleop15.8
End4.8
red by 2.2
21.43.6
24.420.8
Auto2.8
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Second
5679
#12
21.90.6
19.919.2
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 4.2
3971
#14
17.83.6
17.313.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
Third
3336
#21
12.80.6
11.611.0
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 3.3
5511
#27
16.13.6
12.69.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed