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Red54
264017.1
567921.9
340213.5
Blue61
476712.7
350626.8
429030.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001205461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5679
#12
21.90.6
19.219.8
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 8.8
30.70.0
25.425.4
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
2640
#20
17.10.6
14.915.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End3.4
blue by 9.7
3506
#10
26.80.0
24.424.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Third
3402
#24
13.50.6
13.113.7
Auto3.0
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 0.8
4767
#25
12.70.0
10.810.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed