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Red34
368010.3
518817.1
333612.8
Blue62
12259.1
150132.9
268223.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376602060801001203462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#16
17.10.6
18.417.8
Auto1.9
Teleop12.8
End2.5
blue by 15.7
1501
#13
32.90.2
28.628.8
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.5
Second
3336
#21
12.80.6
11.010.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 10.5
2682
#15
23.40.2
20.420.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End6.8
Third
3680
#22
10.30.6
11.210.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.3
End-0.3
red by 1.1
1225
#30
9.10.2
10.911.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
15%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed