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Red104
397117.8
567921.9
600418.9
Blue116
350626.8
429030.7
551116.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6290204080100120140160104116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5679
#12
21.90.5
21.421.9
Auto10.0
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 8.8
30.70.6
28.929.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.7
End4.9
Second
6004
#18
18.90.5
18.418.9
Auto1.5
Teleop13.7
End3.7
blue by 7.9
3506
#10
26.80.6
25.025.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.7
End5.5
Third
3971
#14
17.80.5
17.317.7
Auto7.9
Teleop7.2
End2.7
red by 1.6
5511
#27
16.10.6
14.314.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.2