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Red123
264235.9
493530.9
366119.1
Blue87
205923.5
43530.3
554419.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110902040608010012014016018012387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.4
35.535.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 5.6
435
#2
30.30.1
30.430.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
Second
30.90.4
30.530.9
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 7.4
23.50.1
23.623.5
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Third
3661
#19
19.10.4
18.719.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End4.2
blue by 0.3
5544
#27
19.40.1
19.519.4
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End3.1