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Red92
345923.0
551822.8
481624.5
Blue69
58720.1
479526.1
519015.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92762040601001201401609269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4816
#17
24.50.0
24.424.4
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 1.6
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
Second
23.00.0
22.922.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.5
red by 2.9
587
#20
20.10.0
20.020.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End3.6
Third
22.80.0
22.722.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 6.9
5190
#24
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End3.2