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Red42
37967.3
621411.5
551822.8
Blue84
268224.7
333120.2
482910.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424602060804284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.5
19.619.1
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 1.9
24.72.0
21.423.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Second
6214
#30
11.50.5
13.412.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
blue by 8.7
3331
#11
20.22.0
16.718.7
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
Third
3796
#32
7.30.5
8.37.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End-0.6
blue by 3.6
4829
#23
10.92.0
5.87.8
Auto1.9
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
31%Breach oddsMissed15%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed