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Red25
551822.8
32294.0
519015.8
Blue42
576214.7
366119.1
600320.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43432030405060702542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.81.9
19.317.4
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 2.1
6003
#13
20.70.1
16.917.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End3.7
Second
5190
#24
15.81.9
14.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End3.2
blue by 3.3
3661
#19
19.10.1
12.712.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End4.2
Third
3229
#31
4.01.9
8.36.5
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End-1.3
blue by 10.7
5762
#22
14.70.1
11.311.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed