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Red49
453413.3
429110.5
551822.8
Blue42
37967.3
560724.6
90016.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334101020506070804942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.7
17.418.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
blue by 1.8
5607
#15
24.60.4
17.517.9
Auto10.0
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Second
4534
#29
13.30.7
9.510.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 3.1
900
#26
16.30.2
13.313.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.2
Third
4291
#28
10.50.7
6.16.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.6
End3.4
red by 3.2
3796
#32
7.30.4
7.88.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
7%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed