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Red16
333617.2
37967.3
268224.7
Blue52
205923.5
453413.3
591918.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46520204060801652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.0
22.220.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.5
End6.2
red by 1.2
23.50.2
26.426.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End4.0
Second
3336
#12
17.22.0
15.313.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End4.4
blue by 1.0
5919
#21
18.30.2
13.313.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
3796
#32
7.33.3
8.24.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End-0.6
blue by 6.0
4534
#29
13.30.2
10.210.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
16%Breach oddsMissed30%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed