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Red67
560724.6
321519.2
453413.3
Blue65
551822.8
481624.5
482825.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4164020801001206765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5607
#15
24.61.9
19.321.2
Auto10.0
Teleop11.1
End3.5
blue by 1.0
4828
#14
25.50.7
19.219.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
19.21.2
13.715.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.1
End3.3
blue by 5.2
4816
#17
24.50.7
19.219.8
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Third
4534
#29
13.31.9
10.412.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 9.5
22.80.7
20.321.0
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed