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Red65
481624.5
333617.2
429110.5
Blue65
576214.7
264235.9
621411.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801006565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4816
#17
24.5
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 11.4
35.9
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
Second
3336
#12
17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End4.4
red by 2.5
5762
#22
14.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
4291
#28
10.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.6
End3.4
blue by 1.0
6214
#30
11.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed