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Red50
621411.5
600320.7
333120.2
Blue82
482825.5
621520.9
560724.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50700204060801001205082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6003
#13
20.70.1
20.920.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.3
End3.7
blue by 4.9
4828
#14
25.51.2
23.624.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End3.6
Second
3331
#11
20.20.1
19.119.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.3
End3.7
blue by 4.4
5607
#15
24.61.2
22.623.9
Auto10.0
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Third
6214
#30
11.50.1
11.711.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.1
End1.8
blue by 9.4
6215
#10
20.91.2
19.020.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed