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Red80
479526.1
493530.9
551822.8
Blue55
481624.5
519015.8
376320.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6540020801001208055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.7
25.125.8
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 6.5
4816
#17
24.51.4
13.915.2
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Second
26.11.2
15.816.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.1
End4.8
red by 6.0
3763
#16
20.21.4
12.613.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
Third
22.81.2
18.419.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4
red by 6.9
5190
#24
15.81.4
16.217.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed