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Red119
264235.9
493530.9
366119.1
Blue82
345923.0
551822.8
481624.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10987406010012014016018011982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.90.2
34.935.2
Auto9.0
Teleop22.3
End4.5
red by 11.4
4816
#17
24.50.2
24.724.5
Auto11.0
Teleop10.2
End3.2
Second
30.90.2
30.030.2
Auto8.7
Teleop18.6
End3.6
red by 8.0
23.00.2
23.223.0
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End4.5
Third
3661
#19
19.10.2
18.218.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.4
End4.2
blue by 3.7
22.80.2
23.022.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.0
End3.4