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Red101
205923.5
43530.3
554419.4
Blue95
90016.3
621520.9
560724.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976720408012014016010195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
30.30.0
30.130.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End4.6
red by 5.7
5607
#15
24.60.3
24.324.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.1
End3.5
Second
23.50.0
23.323.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 2.6
6215
#10
20.90.3
20.721.0
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Third
5544
#27
19.40.0
19.219.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 3.1
900
#26
16.30.3
16.116.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.2