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Red150
153341.0
264236.6
481624.5
Blue100
350639.2
429030.8
567924.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13011750100150200150100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto6.3
Teleop22.8
End11.9
red by 1.8
3506
Unranked
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto10.8
Teleop17.9
End10.5
Second
2642
Unranked
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.9
Teleop22.3
End4.4
red by 5.8
4290
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End4.3
Third
4816
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto10.6
Teleop10.9
End3.0
Level
5679
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End4.4